Analyst consensus

Below is the analyst consensus forecast for some of our key performance indicators.

The consensus is the average of estimates for a particular metric and reflects the latest analyst expectations of our business performance.  We receive this data from registered investment analysts who represent a variety of financial institutions.

Full year 2018 analyst consensus1

 2018
Consensus
2017
Actual
Profit
£m£m
Adjusted profit before tax from continuing operations617660
Assets under management and administrations (AUMA) and net flows2
£bn£bn
Group AUMA555.8 608.1
Group net flows (40.3)(32.9)

All figures presented on a continuing operations basis which excludes the UK and European insurance business. The sale of this business to Phoenix completed on 31 August 2018. 2017 comparatives are provided on a pro forma basis as if Standard Life Group and Aberdeen had always been merged.

1 Analyst consensus compiled at 6 March 2019, based on 13 analyst forecasts.
2 Excludes analyst consensus expectations for ‘HDFC AMC’ and ‘India and China life’. This is to align the basis of the consensus for Group AUMA and net flows with the way in which we will report these measures in our Full Year Results 2018. ‘HDFC AMC’ and ‘India and China life’ are no longer being included in our AUMA and flows disclosures in order to improve the alignment of assets and revenue margins disclosures and simplify our reporting.

The forecasts used to produce this consensus have been provided to Standard Life Aberdeen plc by a number of registered investment analysts and are, as such, publicly available information. Standard Life Aberdeen has not verified the accuracy of the information, or the basis of it, nor has it commented on the accuracy of any forecasts, individually or collectively, and it does not intend to do so in the future. Standard Life Aberdeen assumes no obligation to update or revise the information contained in the consensus to reflect circumstances existing after the date this consensus is published.

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